LEI vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 31, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 1 310+1
- 2Tom Brennan2 2 3 29+2
- 3Ryan Douglas3 3 2 3 314
- 4Kyle Howarth1 1 1 25+2
- 5Sam Masters2 3 3 2 212+2
- 6Drew Kemp2 1 2 38+1
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 FD 12+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen0 FD 0 11
- 2Richard Lawson1 2 1 1 16+1
- 3Chris Harris2 2 3 FD 07
- 4Scott Nicholls0 0 11
- 5Jan Kvech1 1 FD2
- 6Nicolai Klindt3 3 FD 3 0 2 R11
- 7Luke Harrison0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · LEI2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Luke Harrison · KLS0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Scott Nicholls · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Jan Kvech · KLS1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLSFD
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · LEI2*
- Jan Kvech · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSFD
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Scott Nicholls · KLS0
- Tom Brennan · LEI3
- Luke Harrison · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Joe Thompson · LEIFD
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Jan Kvech · KLSFD
- Chris Harris · KLS3
- Tom Brennan · LEI2
- Max Fricke · LEI1*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Chris Harris · KLSFD
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSR
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2*
- Scott Nicholls · KLS1
- Luke Harrison · KLS0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Chris Harris · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LEI | KLS | LEI | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 7 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Luke Harrison | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Scott Nicholls | 3 | 5.5 | 1 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.