LEI vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, July 21, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 3 3 116+1
- 3Ryan Douglas2 1 0 3 28+2
- 4Kyle Howarth0 3 2 1 39
- 5Sam Masters2 3 1 3 2 213+1
- 6Drew Kemp1 0 0 01
- 7Joe Thompson0 1 0 01+1
- 1Jack Holder1 3 2 1 310+1
- 2Anders Rowe2 0 2 15+1
- 3Joshua Pickering1 2 2 3 210
- 4Lewis Kerr0 1 0 12+2
- 5Chris Holder3 2 2 0 07
- 6Justin Sedgmen2 1 0 14+2
- 7Leon Flint3 0 1 ts4+1
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI0
- Leon Flint · SHE3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2*
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Leon Flint · SHE1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Max Fricke · LEI1*
- Chris Holder · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEI | SHE | LEI | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Masters | 6 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 5 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 13.9 | 16 | +2.1 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Leon Flint | 3 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.