BVA vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, July 14, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz2 3 3 2 313
- 2Norick Blödorn0 1 2 25+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 0 3 28
- 4Zach Cook2 3 2 3 111+2
- 5Dan Bewley1 3 2 17+1
- 6Tate Zischke1 1 0 0 24+2
- 7William Cairns2 0 02
- 1Max Fricke3 2 3 3 3 3 219
- 3Ryan Douglas1 1 2 0 1 05+1
- 4Kyle HowarthE 0 0 1 12
- 5Sam Masters3 2 1 1 07
- 6Drew Kemp1 3 2 0 06+1
- 7Joe Thompson0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- William Cairns · BVA2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Kyle Howarth · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Kyle Howarth · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 13 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h SW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| BVA | LEI | BVA | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cook | 5 | 5.2 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Max Fricke | 7 | 14.7 | 19 | +4.3 |
| Tate Zischke | 5 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| William Cairns | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 11.6 | 5 | -6.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.