IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 10, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 1 3 3 312+1
- 2Danny King3 3 3 2 213+2
- 3Adam Ellis1 2 FD3+1
- 4Tom Brennan2 1 3 39+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 2 28+2
- 6Dan Thompson3 2 2 1 1 211+3
- 7Vinnie Foord0 FD R0
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 3 2 0 110+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 1 0 37
- 4Zach Cook0 0 1 1 13+1
- 5Dan Bewley3 2 2 1 08
- 6Tate Zischke0 1 0 01+1
- 7Jake Mulford2 0 2 1 0 05+1
Heat by heat
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1*
- Vinnie Foord · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Vinnie Foord · IPWFD
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1*
- Adam Ellis · IPWFD
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Vinnie Foord · IPWR
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h SE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny King | 5 | 7.1 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 6 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Jake Mulford | 6 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Vinnie Foord | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Zach Cook | 5 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 14.6 | 10 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.