IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, March 27, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 3 29+2
- 2Danny King3 0 2 27+2
- 3Adam Ellis1 3 1 3 311
- 4Tom Brennan3 2 3 210+2
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 312
- 6Dan Thompson3 1 1 3 210+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins1 2 3 28+2
- 1Brady Kurtz0 0 2 13
- 2Norick Blödorn1 1 0 02
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 2 1 0 05
- 4Zach Cook0 0 0 11
- 5Dan Bewley1 3 2 0 17
- 6Tate Zischke0 1 0 12
- 7Jake Mulford2 0 1 03
Heat by heat
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 10 → 7 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 89 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +32 | 100 % |
| 13 | +36 | 100 % |
| 14 | +40 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 6.1 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 4.9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Danny King | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 11.7 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.3 | 3 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.