LEI vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 3, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 2 3 213+1
- 3Ryan Douglas3 2 3 0 210
- 4Kyle Howarth2 1 1 1 3 08+2
- 5Sam MastersR 1 1 3 3 19
- 6Drew Kemp3 3 1 1 210+2
- 7Joe Thompson2 0 13+2
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 2 FD4
- 2Richard Lawson1 3 3 3 2 R 214+2
- 3Chris Harris1 0 2 2 3 311
- 4Tobias V. Thomsen0 0 00
- 6Zach Cook1 2 2 0 1 0 17+2
- 7Luke HarrisonR 0 11
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2*
- Zach Cook · KLS1
- Luke Harrison · KLSR
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2*
- Chris Harris · KLS1
- Tobias V. Thomsen · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Zach Cook · KLS2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Zach Cook · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Chris Harris · KLS0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Tobias V. Thomsen · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Luke Harrison · KLS0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Zach Cook · KLS0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Zach Cook · KLS1*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Richard Lawson · KLSR
- Chris Harris · KLS3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Zach Cook · KLS0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Luke Harrison · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLSFD
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Zach Cook · KLS1
- Tobias V. Thomsen · KLS0
- Chris Harris · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Kyle Howarth · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h W
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEI | KLS | LEI | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Richard Lawson | 7 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Luke Harrison | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Tobias V. Thomsen | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Zach Cook | 7 | 10.6 | 7 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.