BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 30, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Dan Bewley2 3 3 2 313+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 1 310+1
- 4Zach Cook1 E 2 2 27
- 5Brady Kurtz3 3 3 3 214+1
- 6Tate Zischke0 3 0 0 0 14+1
- 7Jake Mulford2 0 1 1 0 04+2
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 2 1 112
- 2Danny King1 1 3 16+2
- 3Adam Ellis2 2 1 27+1
- 4Tom Brennan0 1 2 3 06+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 2 0 04
- 6Dan Thompson1 0 1 R2+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins0 1 FD1+1
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Danny King · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2*
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPWFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Jason Doyle · IPW0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Jason Doyle · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1*
- Dan Thompson · IPWR
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 21 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 12.0 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Jake Mulford | 6 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Tate Zischke | 6 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 7.3 | 2 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.