IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 23, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 2 29+2
- 2Danny King2 3 2 310+1
- 3Adam Ellis3 1 2 1 07
- 4Tom Brennan2 3 R 3 311+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 1 18+1
- 6Dan Thompson3 0 0 25+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins2 1 1 04+2
- 1Max Fricke1 2 3 3 2 3 216+1
- 3Ryan Douglas0 2 0 3 3 19+1
- 4Kyle Howarth1 R 1 1 14+1
- 5Sam MastersR 2 R 1 03
- 6Drew KempF 1 2 R3+1
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEIF
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · LEIR
- Danny King · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Tom Brennan · IPWR
- Danny King · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEIR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 20 → 13 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +20 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny King | 4 | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Max Fricke | 7 | 15.6 | 16 | +0.4 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Kyle Howarth | 5 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 8.4 | 3 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.