LEI vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 2, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 2 2 2 110+1
- 2Luke Becker2 3 2 18+2
- 3Ryan Douglas3 3 3 2 314+1
- 4Kyle Howarth2 1 2 38+2
- 5Sam Masters2 2 1 05+1
- 6Drew Kemp1 0 2 3 28+1
- 7Joe Thompson0 1 01+1
- 1Jack Holder1 2 3 1 29
- 2Anders Rowe0 0 3 03
- 3Joshua Pickering0 3 3 1 07
- 4Lewis Kerr1 1 0 13
- 5Chris Holder3 0 1 37
- 6Justin Sedgmen2 1 0 03+1
- 7Leon Flint3 0 1 04
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Leon Flint · SHE3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2*
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Anders Rowe · SHE3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Leon Flint · SHE1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 14 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h S
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LEI | SHE | LEI | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 4.7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Leon Flint | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.1 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.