IPW vs LEI

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 22, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich

Results

IPW 43 : 47 LEI
IPW
LEI

Heat by heat

Heat 158.10 s3:3
Heat 258.90 s4:2
Heat 358.40 s5:1
Heat 457.70 s3:3
Heat 557.50 s1:5
Heat 658.10 s3:3
Heat 758.00 s2:4
Heat 857.60 s3:3
Heat 957.90 s2:4
Heat 1057.90 s3:3
Heat 1157.70 s3:3
Heat 1258.00 s3:3
Heat 1357.90 s2:4
Heat 1458.70 s3:3
Heat 1558.10 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Clear
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Temperature
13 → 7 °C
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Wind
13 km/h N
gusts up to 32 km/h
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Humidity
53 %
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7612−6+6
8–10810−2+2
11–13810−2+2
14–156600
IPWLEIIPWLEI

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead IPW
-4-20246115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+690 %
5+269 %
6+274 %
7060 %
8057 %
9-244 %
10-236 %
11-236 %
12-235 %
13-414 %
14-48 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Luke Becker57.612+4.4
Drew Kemp54.99+4.1
Adam Ellis57.69+1.4
Kyle Howarth45.87+1.2
Danny King69.210+0.8
Emil Sajfutdinow612.412-0.4
Danyon Hume42.92-0.9
Joe Thompson31.10-1.1
Max Fricke59.38-1.3
Jordan Jenkins45.44-1.4
Sam Masters47.86-1.8
Ryan Douglas47.55-2.5
Tom Brennan58.66-2.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.9057.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.7:20.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +1.83 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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