BVA vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 19, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 0 39
- 2Norick Blödorn1 1 2 37
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 2 3 3 e10+1
- 4Zach Cook0 3 2 27+1
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 2 2 313+1
- 6Tate Zischke3 0 0 1 04+1
- 7Jake Mulford1 0 1 02+1
- 1Max Fricke2 1 3 1 29
- 2Luke Beckerr 0 3 14
- 3Ryan Douglas3 2 0 2 18+1
- 4Kyle Howarth1 1 1 3 17+3
- 5Sam Masters2 2 1 r5
- 6Drew Kemp2 0 ts 2 04
- 7Joe Thompson0 1 0 rs1+1
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Luke Becker · LEIr
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Luke Becker · LEI1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Sam Masters · LEIr
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 11 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BVA | LEI | BVA | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Tate Zischke | 5 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.