IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 5, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle1 3 3 2 312+2
- 2Danny King2 1 3 17
- 3Adam Ellis0 2 1 25+1
- 4Tom Brennan2 0 3 16
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 3 212+1
- 6Dan Thompson2 0 1 3 39
- 7Jordan Jenkins1 0 12+1
- 1Chris Harris0 1 2 03
- 3Jan Kvech3 3 2 0 0 08+1
- 4Richard Lawson1 3 2 2 19
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 1 06+1
- 6Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 2 0 R 111
- 7Ashton BoughenR R R0
Heat by heat
- Jan Kvech · KLS3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Chris Harris · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1*
- Ashton Boughen · KLSR
- Jan Kvech · KLS3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Chris Harris · KLS1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Danny King · IPW1
- Ashton Boughen · KLSR
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Jan Kvech · KLS2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Ashton Boughen · KLSR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Danny King · IPW1
- Jan Kvech · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSR
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Jan Kvech · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Chris Harris · KLS0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Jan Kvech · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 11 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 31 km/h NE
- gusts up to 51 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.4 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 7 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Ashton Boughen | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Jan Kvech | 6 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.