BVA vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 5, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 3 3 2 112
- 2Norick Blödorn3 1 2 17
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 3 2 29+1
- 4Zach Cook1 1 1 36+2
- 5Dan Bewley1 3 2 1 310+1
- 6Tate Zischke0 0 00
- 7Jake Mulford1 0 0 12
- 1Jack Holder1 2 3 3 211+1
- 2Anders Rowe2 0 13
- 3Joshua Pickering3 2 2 1 08
- 4Justin Sedgmen0 1 0 23+1
- 5Chris Holder2 2 3 07+1
- 6Lewis Kerr3 0 03
- 7Leon Flint2 3 3 1 0 09+1
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Leon Flint · SHE2*
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Leon Flint · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Leon Flint · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Leon Flint · SHE1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BVA | SHE | BVA | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Leon Flint | 6 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Lewis Kerr | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Anders Rowe | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 13.6 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Tate Zischke | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.