LEI vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 10, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 2 2 212+1
- 2Luke Becker2 1 XO 3 17+2
- 3Ryan Douglas3 2 R 27
- 4Kyle Howarth2 1 1 26+2
- 5Sam MastersR 2 1 14+1
- 6Drew Kemp3 1 0 1 16+3
- 7Sam Hagon1 2 14
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 2 3 3 F12+1
- 2Norick Blödorn0 0 3 25+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey1 3 0 37
- 4Zach Cook0 0 1 34
- 5Dan Bewley3 2 3 0 311
- 6Tate Zischke2 0 02
- 7Jake Mulford0 1 2 03+1
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2
- Sam Hagon · LEI1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Sam Hagon · LEI2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Luke Becker · LEI1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2*
- Sam Hagon · LEI1
- Luke Becker · LEIXO
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIR
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVAF
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 11 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEI | BVA | LEI | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Sam Hagon | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.6 | 12 | -0.6 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Tate Zischke | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.