IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, October 9, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 2 1 39+2
- 2Danny King2 XO 3 16+1
- 3Tom Brennan2 0 3 27+1
- 4Keynan Rew3 1 2 17+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 2 3 2 110
- 6Dan Thompson3 1 1 05+2
- 7Jason Edwards1 1 0 02
- 1Max Fricke3 3 2 3 213
- 2Luke Becker0 2 2 15+2
- 3Ryan DouglasFD 3 3 3 FD9
- 4Kyle Howarth1 XD 0 34
- 5Sam Masters3 3 1 07
- 6Drew Kemp2 R R 1 25+1
- 7Joe Thompson0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIFD
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Drew Kemp · LEIR
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Danny King · IPWXO
- Drew Kemp · LEIR
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Kyle Howarth · LEIXD
- Danny King · IPW3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIFD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 12 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 11 | −5 | +5 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +1 | 74 % |
| 7 | +1 | 70 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +7 | 95 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +5 | 92 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.