BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, March 24, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 2 3 112
- 2Norick Blödorn0 0 FD0
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 0 0 35
- 4Zach Cook0 1 1 13
- 5Dan Bewley2 3 3 2 313+1
- 6Tate Zischke3 2 0 0 0 05+1
- 7Jake Mulford1 0 12
- 1Jason Doyle1 3 2 1 29+1
- 2Danny King2 2 3 18+2
- 3Adam Ellis3 0 1 15+1
- 4Tom Brennan1 1 3 3 08
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 07+1
- 6Dan Thompson2 2 2 28+2
- 7Jordan Jenkins0 1 2 25+1
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVAFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 7 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Danny King | 4 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Jake Mulford | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Tate Zischke | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.