SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 19, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder1 1 2 15+4
- 2Kyle Howarth2 2 2 39+1
- 3Chris Holder0 3 1 26+1
- 4Joshua Pickering2 1 2 3 311
- 5Chris Harris2 3 3 2 212+1
- 6Jason Edwards1 0 0 12+1
- 7Daniel Gilkes2 0 3 05
- 1Brady Kurtz3 2 2 310
- 2Norick Blödorn0 0 r 11+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 2 1 3 09
- 4Benjamin Cook1 1 fd rs2+1
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 3 0 110
- 6Antti Vuolas3 1 0 0 1 27
- 7Jake Mulford0 rs 1 01
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Antti Vuolas · BVA3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Chris Harris · SHE2
- Antti Vuolas · BVA1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Chris Harris · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVAr
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Chris Holder · SHE1*
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Benjamin Cook · BVAfd
- Chris Harris · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Antti Vuolas · BVA1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Chris Harris · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Antti Vuolas · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Chris Harris · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Harris | 5 | 6.5 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.6 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Antti Vuolas | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Jake Mulford | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Benjamin Cook | 3 | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.