LEI vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 5, 2024 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 3 3 318
- 2Richard Lawson1 FD 3 15
- 3Sam Masters3 1 3 2 211+1
- 4Luke Becker2 0 2 37+2
- 5Ryan DouglasFD 0 3 14
- 6Craig CookFD0
- 7Joe Thompson1 1 1 0 0 03
- 1Chris HarrisXO 2 2 2 06+1
- 2Anders Rowe2 3 0 16+1
- 3Niels Kristian IversenR 1 2 3 17+1
- 4Norick Blödorn1 2 0 25
- 5Jan Kvech3 1 1 05+1
- 6Simon Lambert2 2 0 15+1
- 7Lewis Kerr3 2 2 18+2
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Chris Harris · KLSXO
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2*
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Craig Cook · LEIFD
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI2*
- Norick Blödorn · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLSR
- Jan Kvech · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2*
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIFD
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Chris Harris · KLS2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2
- Jan Kvech · KLS1*
- Richard Lawson · LEIFD
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · KLS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI2*
- Jan Kvech · KLS1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Norick Blödorn · KLS0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Anders Rowe · KLS1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Simon Lambert · KLS1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Jan Kvech · KLS0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · KLS2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Chris Harris · KLS0
- Max Fricke · LEI4
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Chris Harris · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 17 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h NE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–16 | 15 | 6 | +9 | −9 | |
| LEI | KLS | LEI | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 7 | 13.0 | 21 | +8.0 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Simon Lambert | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Joe Thompson | 6 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Craig Cook | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.