IPW vs SHE

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 5, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich

Results

IPW 45 : 45 SHE
IPW
SHE

Heat by heat

Heat 15:1
Heat 23:3
Heat 33:3
Heat 45:1
Heat 53:3
Heat 64:2
Heat 71:5
Heat 83:3
Heat 95:1
Heat 101:5
Heat 111:5
Heat 124:2
Heat 131:5
Heat 144:2
Heat 152:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Fog
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Temperature
21 → 18 °C
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Wind
12 km/h NE
gusts up to 27 km/h
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.4 mm
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Humidity
90 %
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7810−2+2
8–109900
11–13612−6+6
14–156600
IPWSHEIPWSHE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead IPW
0246810115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+486 %
3+482 %
4+893 %
5+894 %
6+1097 %
7+690 %
8+690 %
9+1097 %
10+692 %
11+268 %
12+486 %
13056 %
14+277 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Keynan Rew67.614+6.4
Dan Thompson56.69+2.4
Danny King57.09+2.0
Joshua Pickering612.814+1.2
Kyle Howarth67.89+1.2
Chris Holder510.611+0.4
Tom Brennan69.79-0.7
Jason Edwards43.62-1.6
Adam Ellis56.04-2.0
Daniel Gilkes43.41-2.4
James Pearson32.70-2.7
Jack Holder512.08-4.0

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 31.0:29.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.23
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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