SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 26, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder2 3 3 3 112+2
- 2Kyle Howarth3 3 1 3 1 E11
- 3Chris Holder3 3 1 2 3 315
- 4Joshua Pickering2 2 0 2 39+2
- 6Jason Edwards3 1 1 2 07+2
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 1 02
- 1Dan Bewley0 R 2 3 3 3 213
- 2Norick Blödorn1 2 1 04
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 1 FD 1 02+2
- 4Benjamin Cook1 2 2 2 1 19+2
- 6Antti Vuolas2 0 2 04
- 7Jake Mulford0 0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Jason Edwards · SHE3
- Antti Vuolas · BVA2
- Joe Thompson · SHE1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVAR
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2
- Joe Thompson · SHE1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVAFD
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Antti Vuolas · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Jason Edwards · SHE2*
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Howarth | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.5 | 15 | +2.5 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 7 | 13.1 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Antti Vuolas | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Benjamin Cook | 6 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.4 | 2 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.