BVA vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 26, 2024 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Dan Bewley2 3 2 2 312
- 2Norick Blödorn0 2 3 05+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 2 1 14+1
- 4Benjamin Cook1 3 3 2 211+1
- 5Brady Kurtz3 2 2 18+1
- 6Antti Vuolas3 2 0 1 17+3
- 7Jake Mulford0 E 1 01
- 1Jack Holder3 1 3 3 010
- 2Kyle Howarth1 0 2 03
- 3Chris Holder3 1 1 27+1
- 4Joshua Pickering2 3 3 3 3 115+1
- 5Tom Brennan1 1 2 04
- 6Jason Edwards2 0 0 02
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Antti Vuolas · BVA3
- Jason Edwards · SHE2
- Joe Thompson · SHE1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Antti Vuolas · BVA2*
- Tom Brennan · SHE1
- Joe Thompson · SHE0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Tom Brennan · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1
- Joe Thompson · SHE0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · SHE2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Antti Vuolas · BVA1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Tom Brennan · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Antti Vuolas · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Jack Holder · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BVA | SHE | BVA | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Pickering | 6 | 8.6 | 15 | +6.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Antti Vuolas | 5 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Benjamin Cook | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Jake Mulford | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.