IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 22, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Scott Nicholls3 3 2 2 2 1 215+1
- 2Dan Thompson0 1 R 0 01+1
- 3Danny King3 1 3 2 3 FD12
- 4Zach Cook0 0 1 12+1
- 6Keynan RewF NS NS NS0
- 7Jordan Jenkins1 1 0 1 3 2 311+1
- 1Dan Bewley1 3 1 3 311+1
- 2Norick Blödorn2 2 3 07+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 2 3 1 19
- 4Benjamin Cook1 1 1 25+2
- 5Brady Kurtz2 3 3 210+1
- 6Antti Vuolas3 0 0 03
- 7Jake Mulford2 0 2 04+2
Heat by heat
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Antti Vuolas · BVA3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPWF
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Zach Cook · IPW0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Zach Cook · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPWR
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Zach Cook · IPW1*
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Antti Vuolas · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Zach Cook · IPW1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Danny King · IPWFD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h SW
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Jenkins | 7 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Danny King | 6 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Scott Nicholls | 7 | 12.6 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Antti Vuolas | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Keynan Rew | 1 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 8.9 | 5 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.