IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 19, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 2Troy Batchelor1 2 3 0 17
- 3Danny Kingf 3 1 1 2 18+1
- 4Dan Thompson3 0 0 14+1
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 1 1 1 09+1
- 6Keynan Rew3 0 0 25
- 7Jordan Jenkins1 2 1 1 ts 05+1
- 1Jack Holder2 2 3 2 312+1
- 2Kyle Howarth0 1 1 2 3 29+2
- 3Chris Holder2 2 2 3 211+3
- 4Joshua Pickering1 3 3 2 3 3 318+2
- 6Jason Edwards2 0 rs ts 0 02
- 7Luke Harrisonfd rs 0 0 rs0
Heat by heat
- Dan Bewley · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · SHE2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Luke Harrison · SHEfd
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Danny King · IPWf
- Dan Bewley · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Troy Batchelor · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Luke Harrison · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Troy Batchelor · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Luke Harrison · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Dan Bewley · IPW1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1
- Dan Bewley · IPW0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Rain
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h S
- gusts up to 44 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Pickering | 7 | 11.8 | 18 | +6.2 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 5 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Danny King | 6 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Luke Harrison | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 13.0 | 9 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.