BVA vs KLS

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 12, 2024 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester

Results

BVA 53 : 37 KLS
BVA
KLS

Heat by heat

Heat 12:4
Heat 21:5
Heat 34:2
Heat 44:2
Heat 54:2
Heat 65:1
Heat 74:2
Heat 81:5
Heat 95:1
Heat 104:2
Heat 113:3
Heat 122:4
Heat 135:1
Heat 145:1
Heat 154:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
20 → 18 °C
Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Wind
10 km/h NW
gusts up to 28 km/h
Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.2 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
71 %
Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41113−2+2
5–7135+8−8
8–10108+2−2
11–13108+2−2
14–1593+6−6
BVAKLSBVAKLS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead BVA
-5051015115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-253 %
2-627 %
3-434 %
4-246 %
5064 %
6+482 %
7+690 %
8+271 %
9+689 %
10+895 %
11+895 %
12+692 %
13+10100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Niels Kristian Iversen57.911+3.1
Dan Bewley59.312+2.7
Chris Harris69.111+1.9
Benjamin Cook48.610+1.4
Jaimon Lidsey47.08+1.0
Anders Rowe56.47+0.6
Norick Blödorn45.86+0.2
Antti Vuolas43.94+0.1
Lewis Kerr32.93+0.1
Brady Kurtz512.012-0.0
Jake Mulford41.61-0.6
Jan Kvech45.53-2.5
Patryk Wojdyło33.70-3.7
Charles Wright46.32-4.3

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 36.0:24.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.83 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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