SHE vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 8, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 3 2 3 2 316+1
- 2Kyle Howarth2 2 2 06+2
- 3Chris Holder2 1 FD 36
- 4Joshua Pickering1 0 2 25+1
- 5Chris Harris3 2 1 3 211+1
- 6Jason Edwards1 0 01
- 7Daniel Gilkes0 1 0 01
- 2Adam Ellis1 3 3 0 1 19
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 3 2 FD13+1
- 4Dan Thompson0 1 1 35
- 5Danny King0 0 1 3 04
- 6Keynan Rew3 0 1 2 17
- 7Jordan Jenkins2 2 1 16+2
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Chris Harris · SHE3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Chris Harris · SHE2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Chris Holder · SHEFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Chris Harris · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Chris Harris · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Chris Harris · SHE2*
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPWFD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 19 km/h S
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 87 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SHE | IPW | SHE | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 6 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 15.3 | 13 | -2.3 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Danny King | 5 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.