SHE vs LEI

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 1, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield

Results

SHE 45 : 45 LEI
SHE
LEI

Heat by heat

Heat 14:2
Heat 27:5
Heat 310:8
Heat 413:11
Heat 516:14
Heat 620:16
Heat 723:19
Heat 8
Heat 93:3
Heat 103:3
Heat 1136:30
Heat 1238:34
Heat 1342:36
Heat 1444:40
Heat 1545:45
Heat 16

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
23 → 19 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
10 km/h W
gusts up to 20 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.6 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
69 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–43426+8−8
5–75949+10−10
8–106600
11–13116100+16−16
14–169387+6−6
SHELEISHELEI

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead SHE
010203040115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+486 %
3+690 %
4+893 %
5+1096 %
6+1499 %
7+18100 %
9+18100 %
10+18100 %
11+24100 %
12+28100 %
13+34100 %
14+38100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Antti Vuolas23.44+0.6
Jack Holder35.86+0.2
Kyle Howarth22.52-0.5
Chris Holder25.34-1.3
Joshua Pickering47.46-1.4
Jason Edwards22.71-1.7
Luke Becker37.35-2.3
Sam Hagon37.85-2.8
Ryan Douglas36.94-2.9
Sam Masters25.32-3.3
Daniel Gilkes24.71-3.7
Richard Lawson35.82-3.8
Max Fricke512.27-5.2

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 43.3:23.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +0.23
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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