IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 1, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Scott NichollsXO 2 3 27+1
- 2Dan Thompson1 0 2 1 04+1
- 3Danny King2 3 2 310
- 4Adam Ellis1 2 1 2 39+4
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 312
- 6Keynan Rew3 2 1 39+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins0 1 3 26+1
- 1Simon Lambert3 0 0 03
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 F 3 2 1 110+2
- 3Jan Kvech3 3 1 2 0 211
- 4Lewis Kerr0 0 0 00
- 6Patryk Wojdyło1 1 0 02+1
- 7Anders Rowe2 2 1 1 17
Heat by heat
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2*
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPWXO
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Jan Kvech · KLS3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Jan Kvech · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLSF
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jan Kvech · KLS2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Jan Kvech · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Jan Kvech · KLS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1*
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 21 → 17 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 57 | 51 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 66 | 48 | +18 | −18 | |
| 11–13 | 132 | 84 | +48 | −48 | |
| 14–15 | 111 | 63 | +48 | −48 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +34 | 100 % |
| 12 | +50 | 100 % |
| 13 | +70 | 100 % |
| 14 | +94 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny King | 3 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 2 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Keynan Rew | 3 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Simon Lambert | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Scott Nicholls | 2 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Anders Rowe | 5 | 10.8 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Lewis Kerr | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 14.8 | 8 | -6.8 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.