LEI vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 4, 2024 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 2 3 314+1
- 2Richard Lawson1 1 3 38
- 3Sam Masters2 3 2 2 110+1
- 4Luke BeckerR R 3 36
- 5Ryan Douglas2 3 1 17
- 6Craig Cook2 1 0 25+2
- 7Sam Hagon3 0 0 03
- 2Troy BatchelorR 1 2 3 2 08+1
- 3Joshua Pickering1 2 2 1 17
- 4Kyle Howarth2 3 0 0 16
- 5Chris Holder3 2 1 2 3 0 213+1
- 6Jason Edwards0 0 00
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 1 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Troy Batchelor · SHER
- Sam Hagon · LEI3
- Craig Cook · LEI2*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Luke Becker · LEIR
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1*
- Luke Becker · LEIR
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Craig Cook · LEI1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1*
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Craig Cook · LEI0
- Jason Edwards · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Craig Cook · LEI2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Troy Batchelor · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 37 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LEI | SHE | LEI | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Craig Cook | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Sam Hagon | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.