BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, July 1, 2024 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 3 110
- 2Norick Blödorn2 1 3 28+2
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 3 312
- 4Benjamin Cook2 2 1 38+2
- 5Dan Bewley2 3 2 310
- 6Tate Zischke2 FD 0 13+1
- 7Connor Bailey3 1 2 17+2
- 1Tom BrennanR 1 1 02
- 2Dan Thompson1 0 01
- 3Danny King0 1 1 02+1
- 4Adam Ellis1 2 0 25
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 R 2 3 210
- 6Keynan Rew1 2 0 25
- 7Jordan Jenkins0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Tom Brennan · IPWR
- Connor Bailey · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPWR
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVAFD
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Keynan Rew · IPW
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 6.2 | 12 | +5.8 |
| Connor Bailey | 4 | 2.5 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.8 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Dan Thompson | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.4 | 2 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.