BVA vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 24, 2024 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 2Norick Blödorn0 2 3 2 18
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 2 3 1 2 011+1
- 4Benjamin Cook2 1 1 2 39+4
- 5Dan Bewley1 3 3 2 3 214
- 6Connor Mountain1 0 01
- 7Connor Bailey3 1 0 1 05+1
- 1Max Fricke2 3 3 3 2 316+1
- 2Richard Lawson3 0 1 15+1
- 3Sam Masters1 2 0 3 17
- 4Luke Becker0 1 23+1
- 5Ryan Douglas2 3 1 06
- 6Craig Cook2 0 0 02
- 7Luke Killeen0 2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Connor Mountain · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Connor Bailey · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Craig Cook · LEI2
- Luke Killeen · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Craig Cook · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Craig Cook · LEI0
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Luke Killeen · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Craig Cook · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Connor Bailey · BVA1*
- Luke Killeen · LEI0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Luke Killeen · LEI1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 60 | 48 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 65 | 49 | +16 | −16 | |
| 11–13 | 118 | 98 | +20 | −20 | |
| 14–15 | 94 | 80 | +14 | −14 | |
| BVA | LEI | BVA | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +34 | 100 % |
| 12 | +40 | 100 % |
| 13 | +48 | 100 % |
| 14 | +56 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 15.0 | 16 | +1.0 |
| Dan Bewley | 1 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Connor Mountain | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Ryan Douglas | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Luke Becker | 2 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Connor Bailey | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Craig Cook | 3 | 6.2 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Luke Killeen | 4 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.