IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 20, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Scott Nichollsr 3 3 2 311
- 2Dan Thompson1 1 3 27+1
- 3Danny King3 2 1 39
- 4Adam Ellis2 1 3 28+3
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 1 211+2
- 6Keynan Rew3 2 0 38+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins2 2 2 06+3
- 1Max Fricke2 0 1 3 06+1
- 2Richard Lawson3 3 1 3 2 113
- 3Sam Masters1 1 1 14+1
- 4Luke Becker0 0 n2 11
- 5Ryan Douglasr 2 2 04
- 6Craig Cook1 fd rs ts1
- 7Sam Hagon0 1 0 0 0 01
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPWr
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Craig Cook · LEI1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Sam Hagon · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIr
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Craig Cook · LEIfd
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Danny King · IPW1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Luke Becker · LEI1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Max Fricke · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 18 → 12 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lawson | 6 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Craig Cook | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Sam Hagon | 6 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.3 | 6 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.