Oxford Spires v Ipswich Witches
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 13, 2024 · Oxford, Oxford
Results
Heat by heat
Heat 12:4
Heat 23:3
Heat 33:3
Heat 42:4
Heat 52:4
Heat 61:5
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Oxford (Kidlington) / Shipton On Cherwell, 10 km away
- Wind
- 23 km/h S
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Oxford (Kidlington) / Shipton On Cherwell, 10 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.6 mm
- Measured · Benson, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Benson, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 91 %
- Measured · Oxford (Kidlington) / Shipton On Cherwell, 10 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead undefined
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 3 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Erik Riss | 1 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Dan Thompson | 2 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Chris Harris | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 3 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Lewis Kerr | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Charles Wright | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Ashton Boughen | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 2 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 2 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |