IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 10, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Chris Harris1 2 1 37
- 2Dan ThompsonR 0 33
- 3Scott Nicholls1 3 2 2 19+1
- 4Adam Ellis3 2 1 28+3
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 2 0 29
- 6Keynan Rew3 1 3 0 310
- 7Jordan Jenkins2 1 1 04+2
- 1Jack Holder3 0 3 2 311
- 2Kyle Howarth2 1 2 16+1
- 3Chris Holder0 2 2 15
- 4Joshua Pickering2 0 0 13
- 5Tai WoffindenFD 3 3 3 1 R10+1
- 6Jason Edwards0 1 01
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 3 0 04
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Chris Harris · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPWR
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1*
- Tai Woffinden · SHEFD
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Jack Holder · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Chris Harris · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Chris Harris · IPW1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Chris Harris · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1*
- Tai Woffinden · SHER
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 11 → 6 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 11.2 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Dan Thompson | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.