IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 30, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 3 313
- 2Dan ThompsonR R 2 1 03+1
- 3Scott Nicholls3 3 3 3 3 217
- 4Troy Batchelor0 0 0 1 23
- 6Keynan Rew3 R 2 FD 16+2
- 7Jordan Jenkins2 0 3 05+1
- 1Max Fricke2 1 2 05+3
- 2Richard Lawson3 2 1 3 312
- 3Sam Masters2 2 1 16+1
- 4Ryan Douglas1 1 R 35+2
- 5Luke Becker2 1 2 2 18+1
- 6Craig CookFD 2 1 25+1
- 7Sam Hagon1 1 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · IPWR
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Sam Hagon · LEI1
- Craig Cook · LEIFD
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Sam Hagon · LEI1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Max Fricke · LEI1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Craig Cook · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Dan Thompson · IPWR
- Keynan Rew · IPWR
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Craig Cook · LEI1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIR
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Keynan Rew · IPWFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Craig Cook · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Troy Batchelor · IPW2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1*
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 27 km/h NW
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 34 | 26 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 115 | 101 | +14 | −14 | |
| 14–15 | 92 | 82 | +10 | −10 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Craig Cook | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Sam Hagon | 3 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Sam Masters | 3 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 8.6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 9.7 | 4 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.