BVA vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 27, 2024 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 2Norick Blödorn3 0 3 06
- 3Janion LIDSEY1 1 2 26+1
- 4Benjamin Cook3 0 3 17
- 5Dan Bewley0 1 12+1
- 6Connor Mountain2 2 04
- 7Connor BaileyR F0
- 1Jack Holder2 35
- 2Kyle Howarth1 2 14+3
- 3Chris Holder2 3 27+1
- 4Tom Brennan0 2 35+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 17
- 6Jason Edwards3 1 04
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 R 23
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Jason Edwards · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · BVA2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Connor Bailey · BVAR
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Janion LIDSEY · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHER
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Janion LIDSEY · BVA1
- Benjamin Cook · BVA0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Janion LIDSEY · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Tom Brennan · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Connor Bailey · BVAF
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Janion LIDSEY · BVA2*
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Tom Brennan · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 3.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 10 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| BVA | SHE | BVA | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janion LIDSEY | 4 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 3 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Jack Holder | 2 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 3 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 3 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Connor Bailey | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 3 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.