SHE vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 23, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 2Rory Schlein1 1 1 3 28+3
- 3Chris Holder2 R 3 3 3 314
- 4Kyle Howarth2 1 2 2 1 19+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 1 1 311
- 6Jason Edwards3 0 0 03
- 7Jake Mulford2 0 3 05+1
- 1Max Fricke0 0 3 03
- 2Richard Lawson3 2 2 2 09+1
- 3Ryan Douglas3 1 0 2 2 210+1
- 4Sam Masters1 2 0 36
- 5Luke Becker1 3 1 16+1
- 6Drew Kemp1 0 12+1
- 7Sam Hagon0 2 0 24+1
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Rory Schlein · SHE1*
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Jason Edwards · SHE3
- Jake Mulford · SHE2*
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Chris Holder · SHER
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Sam Hagon · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Jake Mulford · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Rory Schlein · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Jake Mulford · SHE3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Rory Schlein · SHE1
- Sam Hagon · LEI0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Luke Becker · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Rory Schlein · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2*
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Jake Mulford · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Rory Schlein · SHE2*
- Luke Becker · LEI1
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Sam Hagon · LEI2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 20 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SHE | LEI | SHE | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 11.7 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Rory Schlein | 5 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Sam Hagon | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Drew Kemp | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 8.2 | 3 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.