BVA vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 20, 2024 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz2 3 2 1 08+2
- 2Norick Blödorn3 0 3 17+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey1 2 2 27+1
- 4Benjamin Cook3 3 1 3 212+1
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 3 211
- 6Connor Mountain0 0 0 11
- 7Connor Bailey1 1 0 02
- 2Richard Lawson0 1 1 13+2
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 2 0 3 310
- 4Michael Palm Toft0 1 3 2 3 211+1
- 5Nicolai Klindt1 2 1 N2 04+1
- 6Patryk Wojdyło3 2 0 1 17
- 7Anders Rowe2 0 2 3 07+1
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Richard Lawson · KLS0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2*
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS2
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · BVA1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BVA | KLS | BVA | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Palm Toft | 6 | 5.5 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Benjamin Cook | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Anders Rowe | 5 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Connor Bailey | 4 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.