LEI vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, March 21, 2024 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 1 1 16+2
- 2Richard Lawson1 3 3 2 211
- 3Sam Masters3 1 0 15
- 4Luke Becker2 3 2 3 111+2
- 5Ryan Douglas3 2 0 27
- 6Drew KempF 0 2 3 16
- 7Joe ThompsonF 0 11
- 1Tobiasz Musielak0 2 3 05
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 2 15
- 3Michael Palm ToftR 1 3 2 06
- 4Benjamin Basso1 3 0 26
- 5Vadim Tarasenko1 2 1 3 310+1
- 6Patryk Wojdyło2 0 3 05+1
- 7Anders Rowe3 2 0 05
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS0
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS2*
- Drew Kemp · LEIF
- Joe Thompson · LEIF
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Luke Becker · LEI2*
- Benjamin Basso · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLSR
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS2
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS0
- Benjamin Basso · KLS3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS1
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Max Fricke · LEI1*
- Benjamin Basso · KLS0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Max Fricke · LEI1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Benjamin Basso · KLS2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 29 km/h SW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LEI | KLS | LEI | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -3 | 54 % |
| 3 | +1 | 77 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | +3 | 83 % |
| 6 | +5 | 88 % |
| 7 | +3 | 82 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +3 | 88 % |
| 10 | +3 | 84 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.