SHE vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 13, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 2 3 08
- 2Kyle Howarth1 1 0 02+1
- 3Chris Holder3 3 3 2 011
- 4Joshua Pickering1 0 2 36+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 2 3 314
- 6Luke Killeen0 0 0 rs0
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 0 2 0 03
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow0 2 3 1 28+1
- 2Dan Thompson2 1 3 17+1
- 3Adam Ellis2 1 2 16+1
- 4Ryan Douglas0 2 1 25+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 3 0 2 18+1
- 6Keynan Rew3 0 1 3 18+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins2 1 1 rs4+2
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW2*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Ryan Douglas · IPW0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Jason Doyle · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Ryan Douglas · IPW1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Tai Woffinden · SHE2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Jack Holder · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · IPW2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Chris Holder · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h SE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SHE | IPW | SHE | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 5 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Luke Killeen | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.