SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 9, 2024 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 1 3 3 212+2
- 2Kyle Howarth1 2 0 03
- 3Chris Holder3 2 1 39+1
- 4Joshua Pickering1 1 2 37+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 3 1 313
- 6Jason Edwards2 0 0 13
- 7Daniel Gilkes0 R 2 02
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 1 04+1
- 2Norick Blödorn2 0 3 27
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 1 1 2 06+2
- 4Benjamin Cook0 2 2 26
- 5Dan Bewley1 3 3 2 110+1
- 6Connor Mountain3 0 0 14+1
- 7Connor Bailey1 2 1 04
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Connor Mountain · BVA3
- Jason Edwards · SHE2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Benjamin Cook · BVA0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHER
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Chris Holder · SHE1*
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Connor Mountain · BVA1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE4
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–16 | 16 | 5 | +11 | −11 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 9.3 | 16 | +6.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Connor Bailey | 4 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.6 | 4 | -6.6 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.