IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 6, 2024 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 27+1
- 2Dan Thompson3 2 1 06+1
- 3Adam Ellis3 1 37+1
- 4Scott Nicholls2 2 26+2
- 5Jason Doyle3 36
- 6Keynan Rew2 24+1
- 7Jordan Jenkins0 1 R1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 37
- 3Michael Palm Toft1 R 34
- 4Benjamin Basso0 1 12
- 5Nicolai Klindt0 2 0 13
- 6Patryk Wojdyło3 FD 1 FD4
- 7Anders Rowe1 0 23+1
Heat by heat
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Benjamin Basso · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Jordan Jenkins · IPW1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLSFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Benjamin Basso · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLSR
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2*
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Jordan Jenkins · IPWR
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLSFD
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Benjamin Basso · KLS1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 3 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 2 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 2 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Scott Nicholls | 3 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Anders Rowe | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 3 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Benjamin Basso | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.