LEI vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 18, 2024 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 3 315
- 2Richard Lawson1 0 3 15
- 3Sam Masters2 2 3 310+1
- 4Luke Becker0 3 0 14+1
- 5Ryan Douglas3 0 3 1 29+1
- 6Drew Kemp1 2 0 25
- 7Joe Thompson3 1 1 05
- 1Brady Kurtz0 1 2 2 N25
- 2Norick Blödorn2 0 2 15+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 1 2 2 112+1
- 4Benjamin Cook1 1 0 35
- 5Dan Bewley2 2 2 06
- 6Connor Mountain2 1 1 0 04+2
- 7Connor Bailey0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Connor Mountain · BVA2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Connor Mountain · BVA1*
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Benjamin Cook · BVA0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Connor Mountain · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 30 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LEI | BVA | LEI | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.1 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Connor Mountain | 5 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Connor Bailey | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.