KLS vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 11, 2024 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Tobiasz Musielak2 2 3 0 FD7
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 0 3 04+1
- 3Michael Palm Toft0 1 1 24+2
- 4Benjamin Basso3 2 3 19
- 5Vadim Tarasenko2 1 3 1 29
- 6Patryk Wojdyło1 0 1 02
- 7Anders Rowe3 1 0 37+1
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 2 3 314
- 2Norick Blödorn0 0 1 01+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey1 3 2 R6+1
- 4Benjamin Cook2 2 1 38+2
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 2 2 111+1
- 6Connor Mountain2 1 0 25+1
- 7Connor Bailey0 0 2 13
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Connor Mountain · BVA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Benjamin Basso · KLS3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS2
- Anders Rowe · KLS1*
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Benjamin Basso · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · BVA1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Benjamin Cook · BVA2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Benjamin Basso · KLS3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Connor Mountain · BVA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Benjamin Cook · BVA1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2*
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVAR
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLS0
- Benjamin Cook · BVA3
- Connor Mountain · BVA2*
- Benjamin Basso · KLS1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Vadim Tarasenko · KLS2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KLSFD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| KLS | BVA | KLS | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Benjamin Cook | 4 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Connor Bailey | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.