KLS vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 4, 2023 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Robert Lambert2 3 3 R 3 1 315
- 3Emil BreumR 0 IRR0
- 4Connor Mountain2 0 13
- 5Michael Palm Toft0 1 1 R 02+1
- 6Simon Lambert1 3 2 2 2 2 315+2
- 7Anders Rowe2 3 1 1 0 29+2
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 214
- 2Danyon Hume0 1 23
- 3Danny King3 3 3 110
- 4Erik Riss1 R 12
- 5Jason Doyle2 2 3 2 110+2
- 6Keynan Rew1 1 2 2 0 FD6+3
- 7Ashton Boughen0 0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Simon Lambert · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Ashton Boughen · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Connor Mountain · KLS2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Emil Breum · KLSR
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Ashton Boughen · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Erik Riss · IPWR
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Ashton Boughen · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Emil Breum · KLS0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Robert Lambert · KLSR
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Robert Lambert · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLSR
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2*
- Ashton Boughen · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPWFD
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 17 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KLS | IPW | KLS | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Lambert | 7 | 6.6 | 15 | +8.4 |
| Anders Rowe | 6 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 7 | 16.1 | 15 | -1.1 |
| Erik Riss | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Emil Breum | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 5 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Ashton Boughen | 4 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 6 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.