SHE vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 31, 2023 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Tobaisz Musielak3 2 2 310+2
- 2Kyle Howarth1 3 2 3 110+1
- 3Chris Holder3 3 1 310
- 4Joshua Pickering2 1 3 3 312+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 2 19
- 6Claus Vissing1 FD 1 02+1
- 7Jason Edwards0 0 3 14
- 1Robert Lambert2 2 2 3 2 213
- 3Richie Worrall1 2 1 1 R5
- 4Connor Mountain0 1 0 0 2 03+1
- 5Michael Palm Toft1 0 01+1
- 6Simon Lambert0 3 2 1 0 2 19+1
- 7Anders Rowe2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Tobaisz Musielak · SHE3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2*
- Claus Vissing · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Richie Worrall · KLS1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Tobaisz Musielak · SHE2*
- Simon Lambert · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Claus Vissing · SHEFD
- Jason Edwards · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Tobaisz Musielak · SHE2*
- Richie Worrall · KLS1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Tai Woffinden · SHE2
- Claus Vissing · SHE1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Chris Holder · SHE3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Richie Worrall · KLSR
- Tobaisz Musielak · SHE3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · KLS2
- Anders Rowe · KLS1*
- Claus Vissing · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SHE | KLS | SHE | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobaisz Musielak | 4 | 3.8 | 10 | +6.2 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Simon Lambert | 4 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Kyle Howarth | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Connor Mountain | 5 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Richie Worrall | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Claus Vissing | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.