LEI vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 28, 2023 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 2 213
- 3Dan Bewley3 2 2 3 111+1
- 4Justin Sedgmen1 2 1 R 26+3
- 5Richie Worrall3 3 3 1 111+2
- 6Jake Allen1 2 1 2 39+1
- 7Drew Kemp0 1 2 2 27+3
- 1Robert Lambert2 3 2 3 3 316
- 3Kye Thomson0 1 0 12
- 4Connor Mountain1 0 1 02
- 5Michael Palm Toft2 0 1 1 04
- 6Simon Lambert0 2 1 3 0 0 06+1
- 7Anders Rowe3 0 0 03
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Anders Rowe · KLS3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2*
- Jake Allen · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · LEI3
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Kye Thomson · KLS0
- Richie Worrall · LEI3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Dan Bewley · LEI2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1*
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Simon Lambert · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Richie Worrall · LEI3
- Jake Allen · LEI2*
- Kye Thomson · KLS1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Richie Worrall · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Dan Bewley · LEI2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEIR
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Jake Allen · LEI1
- Kye Thomson · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Jake Allen · LEI2
- Richie Worrall · LEI1*
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Kye Thomson · KLS1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Richie Worrall · LEI1*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Jake Allen · LEI3
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Dan Bewley · LEI1*
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LEI | KLS | LEI | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 5 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 13.8 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Simon Lambert | 7 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Kye Thomson | 4 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 5 | 7.5 | 4 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.