BVA vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 28, 2023 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 3 2 213+1
- 2Tom Brennan1 1 1 25+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 3 312
- 4Charles Wright2 2 1 27+3
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 3 3 012
- 6Norick Blödorn3 0 1 37
- 7Connor Bailey0 1 3 15
- 1Max Fricke2 1 2 2 0 310
- 2Justin Sedgmen0 R 0 0 00
- 3Richie Worrall1 1 1 2 16+1
- 5Chris Harris2 2 2 1 18
- 6Jake Allen1 0 0 01+1
- 7Drew Kemp2 0 2 0 04
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Jake Allen · LEI1*
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Richie Worrall · LEI1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEIR
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Richie Worrall · LEI1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Connor Bailey · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Richie Worrall · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Richie Worrall · LEI2
- Connor Bailey · BVA1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Chris Harris · LEI1
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Richie Worrall · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Chris Harris · LEI1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 15 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BVA | LEI | BVA | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +34 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Connor Bailey | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Jake Allen | 4 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 13.1 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 5.7 | 0 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.