IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 13, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 2 213+1
- 3Danny King3 R 3 1 07+1
- 4Keynan Rew0 1 2 0 F3
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 3 0 312+1
- 6Danyon Hume0 2 0 2 1 16+1
- 7Joe Thompson0 R 00
- 1Dan Bewley2 3 1 1 18
- 2Norick Blödorn1 2 2 05+2
- 3Tom Brennan2 1 1 26+2
- 4Charles Wright1 3 2 39+1
- 5Brady Kurtz3 0 3 3 09
- 6Jaimon Lidsey3 1 0 3 29+1
- 7Anders Rowe1 1 13+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Anders Rowe · BVA1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Charles Wright · BVA1*
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Anders Rowe · BVA1
- Joe Thompson · IPWR
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Danny King · IPWR
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Anders Rowe · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPWF
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 9 → 7 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h S
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Wright | 4 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Danyon Hume | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Anders Rowe | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 14.3 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Danny King | 5 | 10.1 | 7 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.