BVA vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 21, 2023 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 3 211+1
- 2Tom Brennan2 0 3 27+2
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 3 211
- 4Charles Wright2 1 1 37+1
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 2 311
- 6Norick Blödorn1 1 1 14+2
- 7Connor Bailey2 2 2 06+2
- 1Robert Lambert0 2 3 3 19
- 3Emil Breum1 FD 0 R1
- 4Connor Mountain0 2 1 25
- 5Michael Palm Toft1 1 2 R E4+1
- 6Simon Lambert1 3 0 0 0 15
- 7Anders Rowe0 2 1 R3
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Robert Lambert · KLS0
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2
- Anders Rowe · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Emil Breum · KLS1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Robert Lambert · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Anders Rowe · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Connor Mountain · KLS2
- Connor Bailey · BVA2*
- Emil Breum · KLS0
- Anders Rowe · KLS1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Emil Breum · KLSR
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Robert Lambert · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Simon Lambert · KLS1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Robert Lambert · KLS1
- Anders Rowe · KLSR
- Connor Mountain · KLS2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 44 | 16 | +28 | −28 | |
| 5–7 | 76 | 32 | +44 | −44 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 4 | +5 | −5 | |
| 11–13 | 104 | 52 | +52 | −52 | |
| 14 | 57 | 27 | +30 | −30 | |
| BVA | KLS | BVA | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +16 | – |
| 4 | +28 | 100 % |
| 5 | +42 | 100 % |
| 6 | +56 | 99 % |
| 7 | +72 | 100 % |
| 9 | +74 | 100 % |
| 10 | +78 | 100 % |
| 11 | +78 | 100 % |
| 12 | +102 | 100 % |
| 13 | +130 | 100 % |
| 14 | +160 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 2 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 2 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Charles Wright | 3 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 2 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Connor Bailey | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Simon Lambert | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Emil Breum | 3 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 12.9 | 9 | -3.9 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 9.6 | 5 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.