IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 10, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 1 313+1
- 3Danny King1 3 3 2 R9+1
- 4Erik Riss3 2 2 2 09+2
- 5Jason Doyle2 3 3 210
- 6Danyon HumeFD 3 1 F 1 3 210+1
- 1Artem Laguta2 FD R2
- 3Benjamin Basso2 2 1 1 N26+1
- 4Connor Mountain0 1 1 13+1
- 5Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 XD 2 3 215
- 6Simon Lambert1 2 1 1 2 0 310+2
- 7Sam Hagon1 R 1 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Artem Laguta · KLS2
- Dan Thompson · IPW
- Erik Riss · IPW3
- Simon Lambert · KLS2
- Sam Hagon · KLS1*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Benjamin Basso · KLS2
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1*
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Danny King · IPW3
- Erik Riss · IPW2*
- Sam Hagon · KLSR
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Simon Lambert · KLS1*
- Artem Laguta · KLSFD
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Benjamin Basso · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · IPWF
- Sam Hagon · KLS1
- Dan Thompson · IPW
- Danny King · IPW3
- Erik Riss · IPW2*
- Simon Lambert · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSXD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Benjamin Basso · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Artem Laguta · KLSR
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Benjamin Basso · KLS1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Simon Lambert · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Sam Hagon · KLS0
- Erik Riss · IPW0
- Simon Lambert · KLS3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Danny King · IPWR
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Sam Hagon · KLS1*
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h SE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 32 | 28 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 47 | 37 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 46 | 32 | +14 | −14 | |
| 11–13 | 137 | 97 | +40 | −40 | |
| 14 | 51 | 39 | +12 | −12 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +42 | 100 % |
| 12 | +56 | 100 % |
| 13 | +68 | 100 % |
| 14 | +80 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 1 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 2 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Erik Riss | 3 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Simon Lambert | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Danny King | 3 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Sam Hagon | 3 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Benjamin Basso | 2 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 2 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 3 | 7.8 | 1 | -6.8 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.